Navigating Disruption 
in Education

Publication
November 9, 2026
By: Jason Swanson, Jeremiah-Anthony Righteous-Rogers, Maria Crabtree, Katie King, Katherine Prince

KEY TAKEAWAYS:

  • Education leaders need to prepare for increasing uncertainty, from staffing and funding challenges to cybersecurity incidents and extreme weather
  • Build the capacity to anticipate, prepare for and respond to change, specifically disruption, with greater confidence and intention
  • Explore navigational principles, future scenarios and practical exercises that strengthen resilience and decision making for leading in uncertain times

For years, education leaders have planned for individual disruptions: a weather event, a regulation change, a cybersecurity incident, a staffing shortage, a major donation, a funding challenge.

But what happens when those disruptions overlap, compound and become a constant feature of the landscape?

Education leaders today face growing uncertainty. Climate events, artificial intelligence, political polarization, workforce shifts, infrastructure challenges and changing community needs are creating conditions that many schools and systems were never designed to navigate. Yet most planning approaches still assume a more stable world.

Navigating Disruption in Education offers a different approach.

Rather than planning for individual disruptions or focusing only on recovery after something goes wrong, leaders can strengthen their ability to anticipate, prepare for and respond to disruption before a crisis occurs. Drawing on strategic foresight, this publication introduces practical tools, future scenarios and reflection exercises designed to help education leaders make better decisions in uncertain times.

Inside you’ll find:

  • A disruption response cycle built around anticipating, preparing, reacting and reflecting
  • Six principles for navigating disruption with greater intention
  • Three future scenarios that illustrate how disruptions could reshape education over the next decade
  • Practical exercises to help teams identify risks, test assumptions and strengthen resilience

You’ll leave with:

  • New ways to think about uncertainty and disruption
  • Strategies for making decisions when the future feels uncertain, volatile or overwhelming
  • Questions and exercises to use with your team
  • Ideas for building resilience across schools, education systems and communities

For education leaders who know that reacting isn’t enough

No one can predict the future. But leaders can prepare for it.

Whether you’re thinking about continuity of learning, community resilience, cybersecurity, climate impacts, AI integration or long-term planning, this publication offers practical ways to move from reacting to disruption toward navigating it with intention.

Download the publication. Start the conversation. Strengthen your readiness for what comes next.

THE AUTHORS

Jason Swanson
Senior Director of Strategic Foresight
Jeremiah-Anthony Righteous-Rogers
Senior Manager of Strategic Foresight
Maria Crabtree
Director of Strategic Foresight Projects
Katie King
Senior Director of Strategic Engagement
Katherine Prince
Vice President of Foresight and Strategy

Related Resources

Immersive futures experiences allow participants to step into possible education scenarios, making future possibilities more concrete while revealing key insights to guide today’s decisions.
Katherine Prince
Vice President of Foresight and Strategy
Monica Hernandez highlights how educators can adapt to rapid change by strengthening collaboration, building AI literacy and embracing shared leadership to remake their roles.
Katie King
Senior Director of Strategic Engagement
By partnering with students as co-designers of their education, schools and systems can narrow the relevance gap and create learning that is authentic, engaging and future-ready.
Jeremiah-Anthony Righteous-Rogers
Senior Manager of Strategic Foresight

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